Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1235.243731 1427.119244 1649.477361 1928.741844 2273.706299 2690.672261 3.240262e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 979.554589 1222.762566 1536.074535 1979.317378 2607.431878 3494.124187 4.896698e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 841.462304 1099.684504 1454.383077 1995.550920 2836.091297 4160.645930 6.568857e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 731.312444 988.598664 1359.399610 1959.112572 2961.564153 4693.696862 8.257883e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 666.546505 928.545869 1322.828970 1995.831942 3202.395047 5486.859283 1.084068e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 592.870159 843.863134 1233.579779 1925.801996 3234.544914 5897.213885 1.284825e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 535.959696 777.337234 1162.599513 1871.783561 3279.545613 6345.134364 1.525164e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 487.356649 718.214169 1095.473812 1811.787251 3296.401272 6735.848276 1.780230e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 470.477919 708.191887 1109.112491 1903.158763 3650.774760 8076.642966 2.471067e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 449.982031 689.659979 1104.987560 1958.443727 3940.583427 9393.321889 3.331113e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 431.162615 671.876782 1099.614494 2009.656040 4235.774587 10887.820875 4.532672e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 406.776520 641.983771 1068.110624 1999.690288 4374.773957 11972.528467 5.750030e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 388.468601 622.964497 1058.345892 2043.922806 4696.651931 14004.223480 8.311384e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 373.612426 609.089890 1057.568844 2110.844111 5116.955844 16823.475062 1.305070e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 355.346135 586.947452 1037.130356 2126.504359 5391.028289 19307.113722 1.947068e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 333.999712 557.087054 997.382581 2087.211972 5478.195471 21015.287340 2.677296e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 321.444371 543.006085 989.131170 2127.081046 5852.633143 24744.757498 4.579770e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 300.794762 511.479955 940.145757 2050.972566 5788.015713 25831.516386 6.042871e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 283.322280 485.019190 899.799166 1992.307602 5773.630027 27309.501627 8.434719e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 266.856699 459.476178 859.245327 1927.204197 5716.806855 28496.316817 1.162719e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 263.203104 459.436186 875.729108 2026.375699 6367.004189 36320.464126 3.587623e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 256.988262 453.644331 878.431804 2086.441337 6888.372549 44433.783565 1.393790e+07
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 250.805008 447.430128 879.475956 2142.122406 7425.713591 54440.778741 1.332125e+08